A model for retention on short, intermediate and long time-scale in   ferroelectric thin films
  We developed a model with no adjustable parameter for retention loss at short and long time scale in ferroelectric thin-film capacitors. We found that the predictions of this model are in good agreement with the experimental observations in the literature. In particular, it explains why a power-law function shows better fitting than a linear-log relation on a short time scale (10^-7 s to 1 s) and why a stretched exponential relation gives more precise description than a linear-log plot on a long time scale (>100 s), as reported by many researchers in the past. More severe retention losses at higher temperatures and in thinner films have also been correctly predicted by the present theory. 
X.J. Lou