Modeling Weather Conditions Consequences on Road Trafficking Behaviors
  We provide a model to understand how adverse weather conditions modify traffic flow dynamic. We first prove that the microscopic Free Flow Speed of the vehicles is changed and then provide a rule to model this change. For this, we consider a thresholded linear model, corresponding to an application of a MARS model to road trafficking. This model adapts itself locally to the whole road network and provides accurate unbiased forecasted speed using live or short term forecasted weather data information. 
Guillaume Allain (MM), Fabrice Gamboa (IMT), Philippe Goudal (MM),   Jean-No\"el Kien (MM, IMT), Jean-Michel Loubes (IMT)
stat.ME stat.AP stat.ML