Modelling ISO Galaxy Counts with Luminosity and Merger Rate Evolution
  We model galaxy evolution in the 6.75 and 15 micron passbands of the ISO satellite, by combining models of galaxy evolution at optical wavelengths (which are consistent with the optical galaxy counts) with observed spectral energy distributions in the infra-red. Our model is consistent with the local 12 micron galaxy luminosity, if 3.5 per cent of spirals at z=0 are in interacting pairs with mid-infra-red luminosities enhanced by major starbursts. Source counts from deep ISO surveys exceed non-evolving predictions but are more consistent with our evolving model. The steep number count of 6.75 micron sources appears to be explained primarily by evolving early-type galaxies, whereas at 15 microns the main contributors are star-forming spirals and starbursting interacting/merging galaxies. The 31 per cent of 15 micron sources which are visibly interacting galaxies have high mid-infra-red/optical flux ratios indicating major starbursts combined with dust extinction. The numbers and high mean redshift of these sources suggest the merger-starbursts are increasing in luminosity with redshift, approximately as (1+z)^2, in addition to undergoing (1+z)^2 number evolution reflecting the optically observed increase with redshift in the fraction of interacting galaxies. 
Nathan Roche and Steve Eales