Constraints on Physical Properties of z~6 Galaxies Using Cosmological   Hydrodynamic Simulations
  We conduct a detailed comparison of broad-band spectral energy distributions of six z >= 5.5 galaxies against galaxies drawn from cosmological hydrodynamic simulations. We employ a new tool called SPOC, which constrains the physical properties of observed galaxies through a Bayesian likelihood comparison with model galaxies. For five out of six observed z>=5.5 objects, our simulated galaxies match the observations at least as well as simple star formation histories such as tau-models, with similar favored values obtained for the intrinsic physical parameters such as stellar mass and star formation rate, but with substantially smaller uncertainties. Our results are broadly insensitive to simulation choices for galactic outflows and dust reddening. Hence the existence of early galaxies as observed is broadly consistent with current hierarchical structure formation models. However, one of the six objects has photometry that is best fit by a bursty SFH unlike anything produced in our simulations, driven primarily by a high K-band flux. These findings illustrate how SPOC provides a robust tool for optimally utilizing hydrodynamic simulations (or any model that predicts galaxy SFHs) to constrain the physical properties of individual galaxies having only photometric data, as well as identify objects that challenge current models. (abridged) 
K. Finlator, R. Dave', B. Oppenheimer