Observable and hidden singular features of large fluctuations in   nonequilibrium systems
  We study local features, and provide a topological insight into the global structure of the probability density distribution and of the pattern of the optimal paths for large rare fluctuations away from a stable state. In contrast to extremal paths in quantum mechanics, the optimal paths do {\it not} encounter caustics. We show how this occurs, and what, instead of caustics, are the experimentally observable singularities of the pattern. We reveal the possibility for a caustic and a switching line to start at a saddle point, and discuss the consequences. 
Mark I. Dykman, Mark M. Millonas, Vadim N. Smelyanskiy