Statistical constraints on the IR galaxy number counts and cosmic IR   background from the Spitzer GOODS survey
  We perform fluctuation analyses on the data from the Spitzer GOODS survey (epoch one) in the Hubble Deep Field North (HDF-N). We fit a parameterised power-law number count model of the form dN/dS = N_o S^{-\delta} to data from each of the four Spitzer IRAC bands, using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling to explore the posterior probability distribution in each case. We obtain best-fit reduced chi-squared values of (3.43 0.86 1.14 1.13) in the four IRAC bands. From this analysis we determine the likely differential faint source counts down to $10^{-8} Jy$, over two orders of magnitude in flux fainter than has been previously determined.   From these constrained number count models, we estimate a lower bound on the contribution to the Infra-Red (IR) background light arising from faint galaxies. We estimate the total integrated background IR light in the Spitzer GOODS HDF-N field due to faint sources. By adding the estimates of integrated light given by Fazio et al (2004), we calculate the total integrated background light in the four IRAC bands. We compare our 3.6 micron results with previous background estimates in similar bands and conclude that, subject to our assumptions about the noise characteristics, our analyses are able to account for the vast majority of the 3.6 micron background. Our analyses are sensitive to a number of potential systematic effects; we discuss our assumptions with regards to noise characteristics, flux calibration and flat-fielding artifacts. 
Richard S. Savage, Seb Oliver