Correlation between Hard X-ray Peak Flux and Soft X-ray Peak Flux in the   Outburst Rise of Low Mass X-ray Binaries
  We have analyzed {\it Rossi} X-ray timing explorer (RXTE) pointed observations of the outbursts of black hole and neutron star soft X-ray transients in which an initial low/hard state or `island' state, followed by a transition to a softer state, was observed. In three sources, the black hole transient XTE J1550-564, the neutron star transient Aquila X-1 and a quasi-persistent neutron star low mass X-ray binary (LMXB) 4U 1705-44, two such outbursts were found. We find that the flux of the soft X-ray peak, which lags the hard X-ray peak by a few days to several weeks, scales with the flux of the hard X-ray peak. We conclude that we are able to predict the soft X-ray outburst peak flux based on the `preceding' hard X-ray peak flux, implying an early set up of the outbursts. We also find that the X-ray luminosity corresponding to the peak of the hard X-ray flux, which corresponds to the X-ray luminosity of the start of the hard-to-soft state transition, varies by a factor of about 2. If the accretion geometry early in the outburst rise is composed of two flows (e.g. a hot sub-Keplerian halo flow and a Keplerian disk flow, or an outflow and a Keplerian disk flow), the correlation indicates that the two flows are initially related, probably due to processes in the outer part of the accretion disk. We discuss constraints on a single flow model and a disk-jet model from these observations. 
Wenfei Yu (UIUC), Michiel van der Klis and Rob Fender (UvA)