Poisson and independent process approximation for random combinatorial   structures with a given number of components, and near-universal behavior for   low rank assemblies
  We give a general framework for approximations to combinatorial assemblies, especially suitable to the situation where the number $k$ of components is specified, in addition to the overall size $n$. This involves a Poisson process, which, with the appropriate choice of parameter, may be viewed as an extension of saddlepoint approximation.   We illustrate the use of this by analyzing the component structure when the rank and size are specified, and the rank, $r := n-k$, is small relative to $n$. There is near-universal behavior, in the sense that apart from cases where the exponential generating function has radius of convergence zero, for $\ell=1,2,\dots$, when $r \asymp n^\alpha$ for fixed $\alpha \in (\frac{\ell}{\ell+1}, \frac{\ell+1}{\ell+2})$, the size $L_1$ of the largest component converges in probabiity to $\ell+2$. Further, when $r \sim t\, n^{\ell/(\ell+1)}$ for a positive integer $\ell$, and $t \in (0,\infty)$, $\mathbb{P}\,(L_1 \in \{\ell+1,\ell+2\}) \to 1$, with the choice governed by a Poisson limit distribution for the number of components of size $\ell+2$. This was previously observed, for the case $\ell=1$ and the special cases of permutations and set partitions, using Chen-Stein approximations for the indicators of attacks and alignments, when rooks are placed randomly on a triangular board. The case $\ell=1$ is especially delicate, and was not handled by previous saddlepoint approximations. 
Richard Arratia and Stephen DeSalvo
math.PR