Distribution of cokernels of ($n$+$u$) $\times$ $n$ matrices over   $\mathbb{Z}_p$
  Let $n, u \geq 0$, $M$ be a ($n$+$u$) $\times$ $n$ matrices over $\mathbb{Z}_p$, and $G$ be a finite abelian p-group group. We find that the probability that the cokernel of $M$ is isomorphic to $\mathbb{Z}_p^u \oplus G$ as $n$ goes to infinity is exactly what is expected from Cohen-Lenstra heuristics for the classical case when $u$ is negative. 
Ling-Sang Tse
math.NT