Mathematical Models for Elicitation in Bayesian Regression
{'Code': '15030000', 'Directorate': {'Abbreviation': 'TIP', 'LongName': 'Dir for Tech, Innovation, & Partnerships'}, 'Division': {'Abbreviation': 'TI', 'LongName': 'Translational Impacts'}}
{'SignBlockName': 'Darryl G. Gorman', 'PO_EMAI': None, 'PO_PHON': None}
This research program will develop the mathematical theory                 underlying the elicitation of probability distributions for use                 in Bayesian regression analyses.  Incorporating expert opinion in               the form of probability distributions in essential in                           applications for which available data are insufficient for                      obtaining precise parameter estimates using classical estimating                techniques, but for which substantial information is available in               the form of expert knowledge.  Four objectives of Phase I are (1)               investigate the relaxation of assumptions underlying existing                   elicitation models; (2) develop theory to exploit the structure                 of special cases of the normal linear model; (3) develop methods                for eliciting prior information about common statistical models                 other than the normal linear model; and (4) develop improved                    computational techniques when expert judgements do not lead to                  closed-form solutions for prior parameters.  Phase II would                     develop theory more extensively and build a general Bayesian                    regression software package.
{'FirstName': 'Kathryn', 'LastName': 'Laskey', 'PI_MID_INIT': 'B', 'PI_SUFX_NAME': None, 'PI_FULL_NAME': 'Kathryn B Laskey', 'EmailAddress': 'klaskey@gmu.edu', 'NSF_ID': '000217503', 'StartDate': '01/01/1989', 'EndDate': None, 'RoleCode': 'Principal Investigator'}
{'Name': 'Decision Science Consortium Inc', 'CityName': 'Reston', 'ZipCode': '220915434', 'PhoneNumber': '7036200660', 'StreetAddress': '1895 Preston White Dr Suite 300', 'StreetAddress2': None, 'CountryName': 'United States', 'StateName': 'Virginia', 'StateCode': 'VA', 'CONGRESSDISTRICT': '11', 'CONGRESS_DISTRICT_ORG': 'VA11', 'ORG_UEI_NUM': None, 'ORG_LGL_BUS_NAME': None, 'ORG_PRNT_UEI_NUM': None}
{'Name': None, 'CityName': None, 'StateCode': None, 'ZipCode': None, 'StreetAddress': None, 'CountryCode': None, 'CountryName': None, 'StateName': None, 'CountryFlag': None, 'CONGRESSDISTRICT': None, 'CONGRESS_DISTRICT_PERF': '""'}
{'Code': '537100', 'Text': 'SBIR Phase I'}
{'url': 'https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/download?DownloadFileName=1988&All=true', 'xml': '8860194.xml'}