in the political realm, an intriguing theory that we can commence from the origin revolves around the concept of the unknown, particularly in how decisions are made amidst uncertain conditions. this theory posits that to effectively navigate through the unpredictability of political landscapes, leaders must not brush aside the importance of pre-indicative criteria. these criteria serve as a beacon, allowing decision-makers to forecast with better accuracy, even when the paths ahead are shrouded in mystery.