 that's how i expect the next 12 months to play out and then we'll be at a crossroads where i can better answer your question about the long term i agree that putin right now seems to have the upper hand seems to think he has the upper hand at least and it would be nice if we could somehow change that psychology but i'm not sure anyone act on the battlefield is going to do it so much as seeing how politics evolve uh over the next 12 months and then if and when a ukrainian counter-offensive is attempted whether it can really show any success