 Kamala Harris's path of least resistance to 270 electoral votes is going to be more evenly distributed across the Sun Belt and Rust Belt than Joe Biden's. When we were looking at polling in the Biden versus Trump matchup, it was apparent that Biden was holding on to more of his support in that Rust Belt trio of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. He had lost more ground in the Sun Belt states of Arizona and Nevada and Georgia relative to 2020.