 It's been a real fun, interesting Kansas City Royals rotation to look at, and Lugo's been the best one. I think he deserves a little more credit. At 16-1, it's not a bad price, but Jared, I know you disagree with me on that. Here's why you're wrong about Lugo. The underlying numbers do not paint a rosy picture. The straight ERA is very good. The expected ERA is bad.