 As I said earlier, the three states that I think are key to this election are Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. If Trump wins one of those and he wins all the other states he's supposed to win, then he'll win in the Electoral College. Now, that assumes Virginia goes Democrat, but it really comes down to this. If he loses Ohio, if he loses Florida, it means he's probably losing other states as well, and he's not going to win in the Electoral College. And, of course, if he loses North Dakota, it's a complete disaster.