 know the odds are not good and i think based on the legit data that i've seen it certainly seems likely and by the way when i say legit data one of the problems we have right now is we live in the poll the polling industrial account everybody's got a poll you know if you've got an opinion you can grab a poll and they'll tell you what you want to see but from the people i've talked to who do the honest polls the one where you pay the money to make sure that they do the sampling right and give you legitimate answers