 What are the shots? What is the opportunity? What is the percentage of players who make it? Well, if you're drafted in the first round, you have a 70% chance you'll get to the majors. If you're picked in the second round, it drops to 50, and it keeps dropping, of course, every round. The draft right now is in its third day. The Red Sox have chosen 10 players so far. One of them is from high school. They picked Conrad Kaysen from Greater Atlanta Christian High School.