 If Donald Trump is even within spitting distance of Joe Biden in New York, this election is over and it's a landslide. According to Politico, Biden aides have not focused on New York, but the warning signs are impossible to ignore and have been building over the past year. Two private polls conducted in a swing New York House district and reviewed by Politico found former President Trump leading Biden there by one point, a virtual tie. Public polls over the last four months found Biden's lead had winnowed to just eight points across New York. He won by 23 last time.