title: ATM daily Cash forecasting
body: <p>I want to do forecasting for ATM on daily transcation data.</p>
  
  <p>I have data set for sep 2013 to feb 2014 and i want to validate it for march 2014.</p>
  
  <p>so for this i had using forecast package in R and fit model ARIMA using ARIMA() function. 
  I have data with trans_date ,transaction_amount, weekdays and holiday_flag.</p>
  
  <p>I fitted ARIMA model with regressor variable weekdays but in final output my forecast value not matching with actual value for march month. so please help me on this. I share with you data set which i used in my forecasting. In Sheet one there is train data and in sheet two there is validate data.</p>
  
  <p>In this link R code is there which i used...
  <a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1mPo0D-iTK5d_b0W5gG2lBmMA95__eG825fFo2yrSyIg/edit" rel="nofollow">https://docs.google.com/document/d/1mPo0D-iTK5d_b0W5gG2lBmMA95__eG825fFo2yrSyIg/edit</a></p>
  
  <p>In this link dataset is there...</p>
  
  <p><a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-LJhxzfpMkeCwLf129D9-q5ZkGhISqrDQWCw30UE9TE/pubhtml" rel="nofollow">https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-LJhxzfpMkeCwLf129D9-q5ZkGhISqrDQWCw30UE9TE/pubhtml</a></p>
  
  <p>help on this really very appreciated....</p>