Starting without sheep may also put you at a disadvantage while lumber and clay seem to be the resources to ditch when in doubt.
Knowing that starting with four out of the five resources doesn’t significantly decrease our chance to win, is there a resource that we should prioritize with starting settlements? The only resource with a large difference in win percentage is wheat. The players who started without wheat won less than 10% of their games (compared to the expected 25%). Starting without sheep may also put you at a disadvantage while lumber and clay seem to be the resources to ditch when in doubt.