4. 今天，世界面临冠状病毒病大流行、乌克兰战争、气候变化等多重危机，比以往任何时候都更加清楚地表明，发展的各个层面相互关联，在我们的全球化社会中所有国家彼此相互依存。在世界部分地区从大流行中复苏的同时，全球经济可能正处于新一轮危机的风口浪尖，全球经济前景仍然存在高度不确定性。乌克兰战争扰乱了疫情中脆弱的经济复苏，引发了欧洲人道主义危机，推高了食品和商品价格，加剧了全球的通胀压力。根据预测，全球通胀率 2022 年将上升至 6.7%，是 2010-2020 年期间平均水平 2.9%的两倍。地缘政治和经济不稳正在抑制商业信心和投资，进一步削弱短期经济前景。目前预计，2022 年和 2023 年全球经济增速仅为 3.1%。2 能源和食品价格上涨，通胀压力上升，增长放缓，正在削弱美国、欧洲联盟、中国的增长前景。美国的货币紧缩将大幅增加发展中国家的借贷成本。越来越多的发展中国家，特别是最不发达国家，在遭遇严重债务困扰的同时，面临增长停滞和“失去的十年”风险上升的局面，
4. Today, the world is facing multiple crises – the COVID pandemic, the war in Ukraine and climate change – that make it clearer than ever that all dimensions of development are interrelated, and that all countries are interdependent in our globalized society. While parts of the world are recovering from the pandemic, h igh uncertainty still surrounds the global economic outlook as the global economy may be on the cusp of a new crisis. The war in Ukraine has upended the fragile recovery from the pandemic, triggering a humanitarian crisis in Europe, pushing up food and commodity prices and exacerbating inflationary pressures worldwide. Global inflation is projected to increase to 6.7 per cent in 2022, twice the average of 2.9 per cent during 2010–2020. Geopolitical and economic uncertainties are dampening business confidence and investment and further weakening short-term economic prospects. The global economy is now projected to grow by only 3.1 per cent in 2022 and 2023.2 Higher energy and food prices, rising inflationary pressures and slowing growth in the United States of America, the European Union and China are also weakening growth prospects in developing countries. The monetary tightening in the United States will sharply increase their borrowing costs. A growing number of developing countries, especially the least developed countries, face stagnant growth prospects and rising risks of a lost decade, amid high levels of debt distress.