24. 秘书长报告(A/76/330)第 28 至 33 段详细介绍了风险管理和为减轻风险而采取的积极措施，其中包括 2021 年 6 月基于现有和新确定的风险的最新估算费用，对该项目进行的第四次蒙特卡罗模拟。3 评估预计需要 6 713 万美元的预算才能达到联合国 P80 置信水平目标，4 这比 6 626 万美元估计项目费用总额高出 87 万美元。2021 年，估计项目费用 6 626 万美元范围内交付项目的可能性为 47%，与前一年 27%的置信水平相比，提高了 20 个百分点(同上，第 30-33 段及图二和三)。
Risk management 24. Details on risk management and the proactive measures to be taken to mitigate risks are described in paragraphs 28 to 33 of the report of the Secretary-General (A/76/330) and include a fourth Monte Carlo simulation3 for the project, in June 2021, based on updated assessed costs for both existing and newly identified risks. The assessment projects that a budget of $67.13 million would be needed to meet the UN-P80 confidence target level,4 which is $0.87 million above the estimated total project costs of $66.26 million. In 2021, the likelihood of delivering the project within the estimated projects cost of $66.26 million is 47 per cent, which is an increase of 20 percentage points compared with the previous year’s confidence level of 27 per cent (ibid., paras. 30–33 and figures II and III).