25. 费用敏感性分析中确定的前五大风险如下：(a) 新办公楼的施工；(b) 项目管理和支助小组；(c) 项目所有人指示进行的变更；(d) COVID-19 相关风险；(e) 进度风险。行预咨委会询问后获悉，项目应急拨备被认为足以支付项目所有人指示的潜在变更，项目小组的目标是将其控制在最低限度，而且迄今尚未出现此类变更。行预咨委会又获悉，尽管采取努力管理费用，但潜在的风险是，项目管理预算可能不足以完成其余工程，项目的监管和监督可能会受到影响，导致整体施工进度延误。行预咨委会还获悉，项目小组正在制定总体项目进度内缓解战略，尽最大可能维持在大会核准的预算范围内(同上，表 4)。考虑到这个阶段的置信水平提高，行预咨委会仍然相信，秘书长将继续密切监测并减轻项目风险，确保在其范围、预算和时限内交付项目。行预咨委会相信，将在下一次进展情况报告中提供最新情况(见下文第 37(b)段)。
25. The top five risks identified in the cost-sensitivity analysis are: (a) construction of a new office building; (b) project management and support team; (c) owner-directed changes; (d) COVID-19 related risks; and (e) schedule risk. Upon enquiry, the Advisory Committee was informed that the project contingency provision was considered sufficient to cover potential owner-directed changes, which the project team aims to keep to a minimum and that, to date, has resulted in no such changes. The Committee was also informed that, efforts to manage costs notwithstanding, the potential risk was that the project management budget might be insufficient to complete the remainder of the works and that the oversight and supervision of the project could be affected, resulting in delays in the overall construction schedule. The Committee was further informed that the project team was developing mitigation strategies within the overall project schedule to stay within the budget approved by the General Assembly, to the extent possible (ibid., table 4). Taking into consideration the improved level of confidence at this stage, the Advisory Committee nevertheless trusts that the Secretary-General will continue to closely monitor and mitigate project risks, to ensure the delivery of the project within the scope, budget and timeline. The Committee trusts that an update will be provided in the context of the next progress report (see para. 37 (b) below).