احتمال میانگین فقط 30 درصده ،" دفعه بعد که ازشون سوال کردیم گفتند ، "خوب، پس احتمالاً شانس من در حدود 35 در صده" 
The average likelihood is only 30 percent," the next time around they would say, "Well maybe my likelihood is about 35 percent." 