Find the best game technic in a game, for example in the game Toepen
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**The Question:**

I want to test 2 game tactics on a game called “Toepen”, the target is to know what tactic is better if you let the 2 tactics play against each other. I want to test what card tactic is better in real life, but I don’t have time to do lots of games to test what tactic is better. That is why I selected a bot as solution.

**The tactics are:**

 - Keep your good cards as long as possible, the last turn decides who will win so only go for early wins If you are sure you can win the rest. “The other players will waste there good cards early”
 - Play your good cards as soon as possible, when you can start a game then you can choose what the starting card will be. “You will have a lot control” 

**How do I want to test this:**

I was thinking of testing these tactics by simulating more than 1.000.000 games and let the tactics play against each other. I made the bot and let him simulation a 1.000.000 games, the result is that tactic 1 is better than tactic 2: 

 - 2 vs 2 you have 15% more chance to win;
 - 1 vs 1 you will have 10% more chance  to win. 

**Why I doubt my method:**

You can’t simulate every factor that are pressed in real life, this is because there are so many factors, you can’t find every factor. For example; in real life cards will stick together if you shake them, there are lots of shuffle technics and there are many more factors.

**What do I want to find out:**

 - Do all those factors matter when you want to test 2 card techniques,
   I guess they don’t but a lot of friends think they do;
 - How can you find what card technic is better; 
 - Is the result of the bot useful if you have programmed the tactics 100% correct.


You can find the game rules here: http://www.pagat.com/last/toepen.html